Dynamical Studies in Hurricane Intensity Change

نویسنده

  • Michael T. Montgomery
چکیده

The long-term goals and objectives of this research are to develop a more complete physical understanding of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change processes. This year’s work focused on the following three areas: Determining the three-dimensional asymmetric dynamics of the TC core region; Testing hurricane maximum intensity theory; Analyzing the environmental influences on the intensification of Hurricane Opal (1995). Each of these projects delivers important advances in our understanding of hurricane intensity and intensity change. The main new findings are summarized below.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Fundamental Studies In Tropical Cyclone Structure & Intensity Change

Focusing on dynamical and thermodynamical processes germane to the hurricane’s core region, this research aims to obtain a more complete understanding of key atmospheric processes governing hurricane structure and intensity. This year (beginning May 2002) we have continued our work on the moist dynamics of the hurricane eye/eyewall and the dry dynamics of a hurricane-like vortex in vertical she...

متن کامل

Hurricane Footprints in Global Climate Models

This paper addresses the identification of hurricanes in low-resolution global climate models (GCM). As hurricanes are not fully resolvable at the coarse resolution of the GCMs (typically 2.5 × 2.5 deg), indirect methods such as analyzing the environmental conditions favoring hurricane formation have to be sought. Nonetheless, the dynamical cores of the models have limitations in simulating hur...

متن کامل

The Dynamics of Tropical Cyclones

The specific objectives of the current effort are: 1. To continue our study of the dynamical processes in tropical cyclones responsible for looping or erratic motion; 2. To continue the development of methods for (a) the introduction of synthetic tropical-cyclone-scale vortices in operational forecast models and (b) ensemble forecasting of tropical cyclones; 3. To continue a sensitivity study o...

متن کامل

An Updated Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins

Updates to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic basin are described. SHIPS combines climatological, persistence, and synoptic predictors to forecast intensity changes using a multiple regression technique. The original version of the model was developed for the Atlantic basin and was run in near–real time at the Hurricane Research Division beginning in ...

متن کامل

An Axisymmetric View of Concentric Eyewall Evolution in Hurricane

Multiplatform observations of Hurricane Rita (2005) were collected as part of the Hurricane Rainband and Intensity Change Experiment (RAINEX) field campaign during a concentric eyewall stage of the storm’s life cycle that occurred during 21–22 September. Satellite, aircraft, dropwindsonde, and Doppler radar data are used here to examine the symmetric evolution of the hurricane as it underwent e...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2015